It is results and not performances that are most important at this stage of the campaign, and this is a huge fixture for both sides in the context of their seasons. We are expecting a tight and cagey affair on Friday evening but believe that Sevilla's extra quality will allow them to secure a vital three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 55.23%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 18.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.08%) and 1-2 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.83%), while for an Alaves win it was 1-0 (8.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.

Result
Alaves	Draw	Sevilla
18.28%	26.49%	55.23%

Both teams to score 39.69%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.68%

62.31%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.03%

81.97%

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.45%

48.55%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.37%

83.63%

Sevilla Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.14%

22.86%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.4%

56.59%

Score Analysis

Alaves 18.28%

Sevilla 55.21%

Draw 26.48%

Alaves	Draw	Sevilla
1-0 @ 8.02% 2-1 @ 4.28% 2-0 @ 2.9% 3-1 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.06% Total : 18.28%	1-1 @ 11.83% 0-0 @ 11.09% 2-2 @ 3.16% Other @ 0.4% Total : 26.48%	0-1 @ 16.37% 0-2 @ 12.08% 1-2 @ 8.73% 0-3 @ 5.95% 1-3 @ 4.3% 0-4 @ 2.19% 1-4 @ 1.59% 2-3 @ 1.55% Other @ 2.46% Total : 55.21%