Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Oviedo win with a probability of 39.42%. A win for Alcorcon had a probability of 31.55% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Oviedo win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.85%) and 0-2 (7.69%). The likeliest Alcorcon win was 1-0 (11.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Oviedo would win this match.
