SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 52.43%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 24.63% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 1-2 (6.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Sevilla |
52.43% ( -0.02) | 22.94% ( -0.04) | 24.63% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 58.16% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.85% ( 0.2) | 42.15% ( -0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.44% ( 0.2) | 64.55% ( -0.21) |
| Atletico Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.88% ( 0.06) | 16.12% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.46% ( 0.12) | 45.53% ( -0.13) |
| Sevilla Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.34% ( 0.15) | 30.66% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.09% ( 0.18) | 66.91% ( -0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Sevilla |
| 2-1 @ 9.73% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.02% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 8.23% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 5.92% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.01% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.5% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.7% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.29% 4-2 @ 1.6% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.45% Total : 52.43% | 1-1 @ 10.66% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.75% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.94% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.94% | 1-2 @ 6.3% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.84% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 3.45% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.27% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.36% ( 0)Other @ 2.92% Total : 24.63% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
