Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 63.07%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 16.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.1%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.93%), while for an Atletico Madrid win it was 0-1 (4.98%).