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Supercopa de Espana | Semi-Finals
Jan 10, 2024 at 7pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
AM

Real Madrid
5 - 3
Atletico

Rudiger (20'), Mendy (29'), Carvajal (85'), Joselu (116'), Diaz (120+2')
Diaz (120+3')
FT
(aet)
Hermoso (6'), Griezmann (37'), Rudiger (78' og.)

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arandina 1-3 Real Madrid
Saturday, January 6 at 8.30pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Lugo 1-3 Atletico
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in Copa del Rey

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 63.07%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 16.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.1%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.93%), while for an Atletico Madrid win it was 0-1 (4.98%).

Result
Real MadridDrawAtletico Madrid
63.07% (0.0079999999999956 0.01) 20.9% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 16.03% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Both teams to score 50.92% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.03% (0.00099999999999767 0)44.97% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.68% (0.0010000000000048 0)67.32% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.37% (0.0030000000000001 0)13.62% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.22% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)40.78% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.96% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)41.04% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.41% (-0.004999999999999 -0)77.59% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid 63.06%
    Atletico Madrid 16.03%
    Draw 20.9%
Real MadridDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 11.14%
2-0 @ 11.1%
2-1 @ 9.89%
3-0 @ 7.38% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 6.57%
4-0 @ 3.68% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 3.28% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.93%
5-0 @ 1.47%
4-2 @ 1.46%
5-1 @ 1.31% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 63.06%
1-1 @ 9.93% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-0 @ 5.59%
2-2 @ 4.41% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 20.9%
0-1 @ 4.98% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 4.42% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 2.22%
1-3 @ 1.31% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 16.03%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Arandina 1-3 Real Madrid
Saturday, January 6 at 8.30pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Real Madrid 1-0 Mallorca
Wednesday, January 3 at 6.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Alaves 0-1 Real Madrid
Thursday, December 21 at 8.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Madrid 4-1 Villarreal
Sunday, December 17 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Union Berlin 2-3 Real Madrid
Tuesday, December 12 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Betis 1-1 Real Madrid
Saturday, December 9 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Lugo 1-3 Atletico
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Girona 4-3 Atletico
Wednesday, January 3 at 8.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Atletico 1-0 Sevilla
Saturday, December 23 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Atletico 3-3 Getafe
Tuesday, December 19 at 8.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 2-0 Atletico
Saturday, December 16 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Atletico 2-0 Lazio
Wednesday, December 13 at 8pm in Champions League


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