The scoreline in the opening leg was rather flattering for Goias, and we do not believe the Serie B side have the quality to trouble a club as organised and disciplined as Sao Paulo. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 35.56%. A win for Goias had a probability of 35.49% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.44%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Goias win was 1-0 (12.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.

Result
Goias	Draw	Sao Paulo
35.49% ( -0.19)	28.95% ( 0.08)	35.56% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 45.02% (

-0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.35% (

-0.28)

61.65% (

0.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.52% (

-0.21)

81.48% (

0.21)

Goias Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.07% (

-0.27)

32.93% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.5% (

-0.3)

69.51% (

0.3)

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.12% (

-0.08)

32.88% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.55% (

-0.09)

69.45% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Goias 35.48%

Sao Paulo 35.56%

Draw 28.94%

Goias	Draw	Sao Paulo
1-0 @ 12.02% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.43% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 6.68% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 2.75% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.47% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.6% Total : 35.48%	1-1 @ 13.37% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.82% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 4.13% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.94%	0-1 @ 12.04% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 7.44% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.7% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.61% Total : 35.56%