Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 56.99%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Goias had a probability of 17.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.03%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.55%), while for a Goias win it was 0-1 (7.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.
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