Boca Juniors face the stern test of taking Corinthians at the Neo Quimica Arena, where the Brazilian side are unbeaten in 16 straight games. While we expect Battaglia's side to still put up a fight, we are backing the hosts to come away with a slender victory in what is expected to be a cagey contest.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 40.2%. A win for Boca Juniors had a probability of 32.55% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Boca Juniors win was 0-1 (9.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.
-0.03) 
0.01) 
