While this may not be the best Boca Juniors side that we have ever seen, we believe past experiences will be a factor in this game, something that the Argentines should be able to use to their advantage against the Brazilians.
Corinthians have not been particularly sharp in the attacking third away from home, and they may struggle with their rhythm with so many players who are not 100%.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 46.33%. A draw had a probability of 29.8% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 23.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (7.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.39%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.
0.05) 
-0.06) 
