Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colon win with a probability of 45.71%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Cerro Porteno had a probability of 26.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colon win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.29%) and 2-1 (8.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.96%), while for a Cerro Porteno win it was 0-1 (9.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colon would win this match.
