Cerro Porteno
1 - 0
Penarol

Cardozo (45+1')
Patino (53'), Espinola (79'), Carrascal (87'), Duarte (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Musto (53'), Elizalde (64'), Viatri (71')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Cerro Porteno and Penarol.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cerro Porteno

Last Game: Cerro Porteno 0-1 Olimpia
Thursday, May 26 at 1am in Copa Libertadores

Next Game: Cerro Porteno vs. Palmeiras
Wednesday, June 29 at 11.15pm in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Porteno win with a probability of 45.31%. A win for Penarol had a probability of 30.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Porteno win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.2%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Penarol win was 1-2 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerro Porteno would win this match.

Result
Cerro Porteno	Draw	Penarol
45.31%	24.6%	30.09%

Both teams to score 57.06%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.33%

45.66%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.01%

67.99%

Cerro Porteno Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.75%

20.25%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.41%

52.59%

Penarol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.55%

28.45%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.79%

64.21%

Score Analysis

Cerro Porteno 45.31%

Penarol 30.09%

Draw 24.6%

Cerro Porteno	Draw	Penarol
2-1 @ 9.24% 1-0 @ 9.2% 2-0 @ 7.35% 3-1 @ 4.92% 3-0 @ 3.91% 3-2 @ 3.09% 4-1 @ 1.96% 4-0 @ 1.56% 4-2 @ 1.23% Other @ 2.85% Total : 45.31%	1-1 @ 11.56% 2-2 @ 5.81% 0-0 @ 5.76% 3-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.6%	1-2 @ 7.27% 0-1 @ 7.24% 0-2 @ 4.55% 1-3 @ 3.05% 2-3 @ 2.43% 0-3 @ 1.91% 1-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.69% Total : 30.09%