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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 42.82%. A win for Boston River had a probability of 30.3% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Boston River win was 0-1 (9.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensor Sporting would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Defensor Sporting | Draw | Boston River |
42.82% ( -0) | 26.87% ( 0.06) | 30.3% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 49.9% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.99% ( -0.27) | 55.01% ( 0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.72% ( -0.23) | 76.28% ( 0.23) |
| Defensor Sporting Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.56% ( -0.12) | 25.44% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.74% ( -0.17) | 60.26% ( 0.17) |
| Boston River Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.93% ( -0.19) | 33.07% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.34% ( -0.21) | 69.66% ( 0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Defensor Sporting | Draw | Boston River |
| 1-0 @ 11.51% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 8.72% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 7.88% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.98% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.6% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.2% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.36% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.23% ( -0)Other @ 2.33% Total : 42.82% | 1-1 @ 12.74% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.41% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 4.83% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.89% Total : 26.87% | 0-1 @ 9.31% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 7.05% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.15% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.51% Total : 30.3% |
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