SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 42.44%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 28.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.6%) and 1-2 (8.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.24%), while for a Deportivo Maldonado win it was 1-0 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Deportivo Maldonado | Draw | Defensor Sporting |
28.34% ( -0.02) | 29.21% ( -0.03) | 42.44% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 42.56% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.18% ( 0.08) | 63.81% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.94% ( 0.06) | 83.05% ( -0.06) |
| Deportivo Maldonado Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.63% ( 0.04) | 39.36% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.93% ( 0.03) | 76.06% ( -0.04) |
| Defensor Sporting Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.19% ( 0.06) | 29.81% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.11% ( 0.08) | 65.89% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Deportivo Maldonado | Draw | Defensor Sporting |
| 1-0 @ 10.93% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 6.17% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.1% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.92% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.59% 3-2 @ 1.16% ( 0)Other @ 1.46% Total : 28.33% | 1-1 @ 13.24% 0-0 @ 11.73% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 3.74% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.5% Total : 29.21% | 0-1 @ 14.2% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 8.6% ( 0.01)1-2 @ 8.01% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.47% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.23% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.05% ( 0)1-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.4% Total : 42.44% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
