SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 51.86%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for River Plate had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.44%) and 2-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.2%), while for a River Plate win it was 0-1 (8.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Defensor Sporting | Draw | River Plate |
51.86% ( -0.52) | 26.14% ( 0.17) | 22% ( 0.34) |
| Both teams to score 45.37% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.44% ( -0.28) | 57.56% ( 0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.66% ( -0.23) | 78.34% ( 0.22) |
| Defensor Sporting Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.7% ( -0.34) | 22.3% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.24% ( -0.51) | 55.76% ( 0.51) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.39% ( 0.19) | 41.61% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.91% ( 0.16) | 78.09% ( -0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Defensor Sporting | Draw | River Plate |
| 1-0 @ 13.92% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.44% ( -0.1)2-1 @ 9.16% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 5.23% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 4.58% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.01% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.96% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 1.72% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.83% Total : 51.85% | 1-1 @ 12.2% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 9.28% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 4.02% ( 0)Other @ 0.64% Total : 26.13% | 0-1 @ 8.14% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 5.35% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 3.57% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.16% Total : 22% |
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