Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 49.55%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Independiente del Valle had a probability of 24.64%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.39%) and 1-2 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%), while for a Independiente del Valle win it was 1-0 (8.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
