Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a America Mineiro win with a probability of 42.59%. A win for Independiente del Valle had a probability of 30.39% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for an America Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Independiente del Valle win was 0-1 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
