Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 56.88%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Independiente Petrolero had a probability of 14.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 20.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.7%) and 1-2 (7.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.81%), while for a Independiente Petrolero win it was 1-0 (8.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.
