Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 19, 2022 at 1am UK
Estadio Polideportivo de Pueblo Nuevo
Form, Standings, Stats
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We said: Deportivo Tachira 3-1 Independiente Petrolero
Although Deportivo Tachira have lost both of their home matches in the tournament so far, with Independiente Petrolero currently struggling on their travels after conceding at least three goals in four of their last five away matches in all competitions, we think that the hosts will emerge victorious from Wednesday's contest.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo Tachira win with a probability of 41.48%. A win for Independiente Petrolero had a probability of 35.21% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo Tachira win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.75%) and 2-0 (5.68%). The likeliest Independiente Petrolero win was 1-2 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Deportivo Tachira would win this match.
| Result |
| Deportivo Tachira | Draw | Independiente Petrolero |
41.48% ( -0.01) | 23.3% ( 0) | 35.21% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 63.82% ( -0) |
| 62.31% ( -0.01) | 37.69% ( 0.01) |
| 40.06% ( -0.01) | 59.93% ( 0.01) |
| 81.37% ( -0) | 18.62% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.07% ( -0.01) | 49.93% ( 0.01) |
| Independiente Petrolero Goals |
| 78.42% ( 0) | 21.57% |
