Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente Petrolero win with a probability of 47.46%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Deportivo Tachira had a probability of 24.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente Petrolero win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.65%) and 2-1 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.77%), while for a Deportivo Tachira win it was 0-1 (9.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.