Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emelec win with a probability of 53.74%. A win for Deportivo Tachira had a probability of 24.19% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Emelec win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.11%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Deportivo Tachira win was 1-2 (6.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.