Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 45.68%. A win for America Mineiro had a probability of 28.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.18%) and 0-2 (8.02%). The likeliest America Mineiro win was 1-0 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.
0.02) 
-0.01) 
