SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 45.68%. A win for America Mineiro had a probability of 28.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.18%) and 0-2 (8.02%). The likeliest America Mineiro win was 1-0 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.
| Result | ||
| America Mineiro | Draw | Fluminense |
28.77% ( 0.02) | 25.55% ( -0.01) | 45.68% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 53.14% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.57% ( 0.04) | 50.43% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.64% ( 0.03) | 72.36% ( -0.03) |
| America Mineiro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.18% ( 0.03) | 31.82% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.75% ( 0.04) | 68.25% ( -0.04) |
| Fluminense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.94% ( 0.01) | 22.06% ( -0.01) |
