SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 44.7%. A win for Defensor Sporting had a probability of 27.82% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (8.67%). The likeliest Defensor Sporting win was 1-0 (9.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Defensor Sporting | Draw | Liverpool |
27.82% ( -0.15) | 27.48% ( 0.02) | 44.7% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 46.83% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.7% ( -0.15) | 58.3% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.08% ( -0.12) | 78.92% ( 0.12) |
| Defensor Sporting Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.26% ( -0.2) | 36.74% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.47% ( -0.2) | 73.53% ( 0.2) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.03% ( -0) | 25.97% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.01% ( -0.01) | 60.99% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Defensor Sporting | Draw | Liverpool |
| 1-0 @ 9.55% ( 0) 2-1 @ 6.45% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 4.78% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 2.15% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.6% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.83% Total : 27.82% | 1-1 @ 12.88% 0-0 @ 9.54% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.71% Total : 27.48% | 0-1 @ 12.86% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 8.68% ( -0)0-2 @ 8.67% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 3.9% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.9% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.32% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.31% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.11% Total : 44.7% |
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