Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 42.92%. A win for Millonarios had a probability of 28.56% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.53%) and 1-2 (8.27%). The likeliest Millonarios win was 1-0 (10.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
0.03) 
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