SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 68.32%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Millonarios had a probability of 12.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.81%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.12%), while for a Millonarios win it was 0-1 (4.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Mineiro | Draw | Millonarios |
68.32% ( 0) | 19.18% ( 0.08) | 12.5% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 47.29% ( -0.49) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.02% ( -0.53) | 44.98% ( 0.54) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.66% ( -0.51) | 67.34% ( 0.52) |
| Atletico Mineiro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.89% ( -0.15) | 12.11% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.32% ( -0.32) | 37.68% ( 0.33) |
| Millonarios Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.81% ( -0.46) | 46.19% ( 0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.13% ( -0.36) | 81.87% ( 0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atletico Mineiro | Draw | Millonarios |
| 2-0 @ 12.46% ( 0.13) 1-0 @ 11.81% ( 0.2)2-1 @ 9.63% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 8.77% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 6.78% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 4.63% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.58% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.06)5-0 @ 1.95% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.51% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.21% Total : 68.31% | 1-1 @ 9.12% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.6% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 3.72% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.75% Total : 19.18% | 0-1 @ 4.32% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 3.52% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 1.67% ( -0)2-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.12% Total : 12.5% |
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