SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 39.79%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 32% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.12%) and 0-2 (7.56%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 1-0 (10.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Liverpool | Draw | Cerro Largo |
32% ( -0.04) | 28.21% ( 0.2) | 39.79% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 46.64% ( -0.59) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.57% ( -0.73) | 59.42% ( 0.73) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.2% ( -0.57) | 79.8% ( 0.56) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.85% ( -0.41) | 34.15% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.16% ( -0.44) | 70.84% ( 0.44) |
| Cerro Largo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.83% ( -0.45) | 29.16% ( 0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.9% ( -0.56) | 65.1% ( 0.56) |
| Score Analysis |
| Liverpool | Draw | Cerro Largo |
| 1-0 @ 10.69% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 7.08% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 5.75% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 2.54% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 2.06% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.31% Total : 31.99% | 1-1 @ 13.18% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 9.96% ( 0.27)2-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.7% Total : 28.2% | 0-1 @ 12.27% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 8.12% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 7.56% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.34% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 3.11% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.61% Total : 39.78% |
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