Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 47.05%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 26.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.12%) and 0-2 (8.81%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 1-0 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Liverpool | Draw | Penarol |
26.7% (![]() | 26.25% (![]() | 47.05% (![]() |
Both teams to score 49.57% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.61% (![]() | 54.38% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.24% (![]() | 75.76% (![]() |
Liverpool Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.47% (![]() | 35.53% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.7% (![]() | 72.3% (![]() |
Penarol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.9% (![]() | 23.1% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.04% (![]() | 56.96% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Liverpool | Draw | Penarol |
1-0 @ 8.49% (![]() 2-1 @ 6.44% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.4% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.22% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.63% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.52% ( ![]() Other @ 2.01% Total : 26.7% | 1-1 @ 12.44% (![]() 0-0 @ 8.21% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.72% ( ![]() Other @ 0.88% Total : 26.24% | 0-1 @ 12.02% (![]() 1-2 @ 9.12% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 8.81% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.45% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 4.3% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.3% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.63% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.58% ( ![]() Other @ 2.83% Total : 47.04% |
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