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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 10
Apr 28, 2024 at 7pm UK
Parque Abraham Paladino
L(

Progreso
2 - 1
Liverpool

Lopez (74'), Silva (90+3')
Piegas (22'), Garcia (61'), Andrada (90+10'), Sequeira (90+13')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Nicola Albanell (27')
Gonzalez (38'), Rodriguez (59'), Rosso (83'), Vergara (85'), Barrios (90+10')
Vergara (90+11')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Progreso and Liverpool.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: River Plate 2-2 Progreso
Sunday, April 21 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Liverpool 1-0 San Lorenzo
Wednesday, April 24 at 1am in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Progreso win with a probability of 45.38%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 29.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Progreso win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 0-1 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Progreso would win this match.

Result
ProgresoDrawLiverpool
45.38% (-1.214 -1.21) 25.58% (0.564 0.56) 29.04% (0.651 0.65)
Both teams to score 53.22% (-1.378 -1.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.6% (-2 -2)50.4% (2 2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.66% (-1.799 -1.8)72.34% (1.799 1.8)
Progreso Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.81% (-1.374 -1.37)22.18% (1.374 1.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.41% (-2.113 -2.11)55.58% (2.112 2.11)
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.39% (-0.553 -0.55)31.6% (0.553 0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.99% (-0.643 -0.64)68.01% (0.64399999999999 0.64)
Score Analysis
    Progreso 45.37%
    Liverpool 29.04%
    Draw 25.58%
ProgresoDrawLiverpool
1-0 @ 10.55% (0.41 0.41)
2-1 @ 9.16% (-0.155 -0.15)
2-0 @ 7.95% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.6% (-0.276 -0.28)
3-0 @ 3.99% (-0.176 -0.18)
3-2 @ 2.65% (-0.202 -0.2)
4-1 @ 1.73% (-0.182 -0.18)
4-0 @ 1.5% (-0.133 -0.13)
4-2 @ 1% (-0.121 -0.12)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 45.37%
1-1 @ 12.16% (0.3 0.3)
0-0 @ 7.01% (0.55 0.55)
2-2 @ 5.27% (-0.171 -0.17)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-0.095 -0.1)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.58%
0-1 @ 8.08% (0.519 0.52)
1-2 @ 7% (0.066999999999999 0.07)
0-2 @ 4.65% (0.232 0.23)
1-3 @ 2.69% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.03% (-0.098 -0.1)
0-3 @ 1.79% (0.063 0.06)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 29.04%

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Form Guide
Last Game: River Plate 2-2 Progreso
Sunday, April 21 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Progreso 1-0 Boston River
Saturday, April 13 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Danubio 1-1 Progreso
Saturday, April 6 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Progreso 3-1 Maldonado
Sunday, March 31 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Progreso 4-2 Rampla
Wednesday, March 27 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Nacional 0-0 Progreso
Saturday, March 23 at 9.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Liverpool 1-0 San Lorenzo
Wednesday, April 24 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Liverpool 1-1 Defensor
Friday, April 19 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Wanderers 2-3 Liverpool
Tuesday, April 16 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Palmeiras 3-1 Liverpool
Friday, April 12 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Fenix 1-3 Liverpool
Sunday, April 7 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Liverpool 1-1 Independiente
Friday, April 5 at 1am in Copa Libertadores


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