Last Game: Flamengo 2-1 Cristal Wednesday, May 25 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universidad Catolica win with a probability of 46.58%. A win for Sporting Cristal had a probability of 30.18% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Universidad Catolica win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.63%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Sporting Cristal win was 1-2 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Universidad Catolica in this match.
