SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 26 | Patronato | 12 | -13 | 10 |
| 27 | Talleres | 13 | -13 | 8 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universidad Catolica win with a probability of 49.34%. A win for Talleres had a probability of 28.68% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Universidad Catolica win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.54%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Talleres win was 1-2 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Universidad Catolica | Draw | Talleres |
49.34% ( -0.01) | 21.98% ( 0) | 28.68% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 65.54% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.89% ( 0.01) | 34.11% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.01% ( 0.01) | 55.99% ( -0.01) |
| Universidad Catolica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.73% ( -0) | 14.27% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.94% ( -0) | 42.06% ( 0.01) |
| Talleres Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.45% ( 0.01) | 23.55% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.39% ( 0.02) | 57.61% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Universidad Catolica | Draw | Talleres |
| 2-1 @ 9.21% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.54% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.37% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.98% ( -0)3-2 @ 4.32% 3-0 @ 4.14% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.91% ( -0)4-2 @ 2.1% 4-0 @ 2.01% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.13% 4-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 3.61% Total : 49.34% | 1-1 @ 9.46% ( -0) 2-2 @ 6.66% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.36% ( -0)3-3 @ 2.08% ( 0)Other @ 0.41% Total : 21.98% | 1-2 @ 6.84% ( 0) 0-1 @ 4.86% 0-2 @ 3.51% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.3% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.21% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.69% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.19% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.16% ( 0)Other @ 2.91% Total : 28.68% |
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