Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 57.05%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Sporting Cristal had a probability of 17.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12%) and 1-2 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.54%), while for a Sporting Cristal win it was 1-0 (7.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.
