Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 53.45%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Botafogo had a probability of 20.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.73%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%), while for a Botafogo win it was 0-1 (7.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
