Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 39.61%. A win for Ceara had a probability of 31.78% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest Ceara win was 0-1 (11.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Athletico Paranaense in this match.
