Both sides are in relatively good form at the moment, but ultimately, we expect home field and the recent experience of Corinthians in these big South American competitions will give them a slight edge. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 44.04%. A win for Estudiantes had a probability of 28% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.66%) and 2-1 (8.51%). The likeliest Estudiantes win was 0-1 (9.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Corinthians in this match.

Result
Corinthians	Draw	Estudiantes
44.04% ( -0.03)	27.96% ( 0.01)	28% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 45.64% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.13% (

-0.03)

59.87% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.86% (

-0.02)

80.14% (

0.02)

Corinthians Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.96% (

-0.03)

27.04% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.6% (

-0.04)

62.4% (

0.04)

Estudiantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.55%

37.45% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.77%

74.23% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Corinthians 44.04%

Estudiantes 28%

Draw 27.94%

Corinthians	Draw	Estudiantes
1-0 @ 13.24% 2-0 @ 8.66% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.51% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.78% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.71% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.82% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.24% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.21% ( -0) Other @ 1.88% Total : 44.04%	1-1 @ 13% 0-0 @ 10.12% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.18% ( -0) Other @ 0.65% Total : 27.94%	0-1 @ 9.95% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.39% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.88% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.09% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.6% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.37% ( -0) Other @ 1.73% Total : 28%