Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 62.3%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 14.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.6%) and 2-1 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (6.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.

Result
Sao Paulo	Draw	Corinthians
62.3% ( 0.84)	23.5% ( -0.25)	14.2% ( -0.59)

Both teams to score 39.5% (

-0.63)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.84% (

-0.1)

58.16% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.19% (

-0.07)

78.81% (

0.08)

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.61% (

0.27)

18.39% (

-0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.46% (

0.45)

49.54% (

-0.45)

Corinthians Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.4% (

-0.94)

51.6% (

0.94)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.26% (

-0.63)

85.74% (

0.63)

Score Analysis

Sao Paulo 62.3%

Corinthians 14.2%

Draw 23.5%

Sao Paulo	Draw	Corinthians
1-0 @ 16.07% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 13.6% ( 0.28) 2-1 @ 9% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 7.68% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 5.08% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.25% ( 0.12) 4-1 @ 2.15% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.1% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.69% Total : 62.3%	1-1 @ 10.63% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 9.49% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.4% Total : 23.5%	0-1 @ 6.28% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 3.52% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.32% Total : 14.2%