Estudiantes have proven they can score in bunches at home, but the defensive shape and organisation of Corinthians makes it difficult for us to believe the Argentines will be able to overturn their current deficit. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 60.6%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 15.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.89%) and 2-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.94%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (6.52%).

Result
Estudiantes	Draw	Corinthians
60.6% ( 0.04)	23.84% ( -0.01)	15.56% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 41.44% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.79% (

57.21% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.93% (

78.06% (

-0)

Estudiantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.33% (

0.01)

18.66% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50% (

0.03)

49.99% (

-0.03)

Corinthians Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.95% (

-0.04)

49.05% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.01% (

-0.03)

83.99% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Estudiantes 60.58%

Corinthians 15.56%

Draw 23.84%

Estudiantes	Draw	Corinthians
1-0 @ 15.36% 2-0 @ 12.89% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.19% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.14% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.03% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.16% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.83% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 2.76% Total : 60.58%	1-1 @ 10.94% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.15% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.27% ( -0) Other @ 0.47% Total : 23.84%	0-1 @ 6.52% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 3.9% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.32% ( -0) 1-3 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 1.89% Total : 15.56%