Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 48.21%. A win for Atletico Junior had a probability of 28.94% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.5%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Atletico Junior win was 1-2 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.