Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 37.78%. A win for Goias had a probability of 32.91% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.61%) and 0-2 (7.33%). The likeliest Goias win was 1-0 (11.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.
0.07) 
-0.21) 
