Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Goias win with a probability of 41.8%. A win for Fortaleza had a probability of 29.31% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Goias win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.31%) and 2-1 (8.09%). The likeliest Fortaleza win was 0-1 (10.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Goias in this match.
-0.3) 
1.04) 
