Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 46.82%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Danubio had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.7%) and 2-1 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.88%), while for a Danubio win it was 0-1 (9.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.

Result
Penarol	Draw	Danubio
46.82% ( -0.01)	28.38% ( 0)	24.8% ( 0)

Both teams to score 42.36% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.11% (

-0.01)

62.89% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.62% (

-0.01)

82.38% (

Penarol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.97% (

-0.01)

27.03% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.61% (

-0.01)

62.39% (

0.01)

Danubio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.06%

41.94% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.61% (

-0)

78.39%

Score Analysis

Penarol 46.82%

Danubio 24.8%

Draw 28.37%

Penarol	Draw	Danubio
1-0 @ 14.83% 2-0 @ 9.7% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.43% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.23% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.68% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.6% 4-0 @ 1.38% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.2% ( -0) Other @ 1.77% Total : 46.82%	1-1 @ 12.88% 0-0 @ 11.33% 2-2 @ 3.66% Other @ 0.5% Total : 28.37%	0-1 @ 9.85% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.6% 0-2 @ 4.28% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.62% 0-3 @ 1.24% 2-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 1.15% Total : 24.8%