Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayacucho win with a probability of 37.47%. A win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 33.62% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayacucho win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.69%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Sao Paulo win was 0-1 (11.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
