SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Montevideo win with a probability of 43.17%. A win for Plaza Colonia had a probability of 29.2% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Montevideo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.56%) and 0-2 (8.28%). The likeliest Plaza Colonia win was 1-0 (9.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Racing de Montevideo in this match.
| Result | ||
| Plaza Colonia | Draw | Racing de Montevideo |
29.2% ( -0.16) | 27.63% ( -0.01) | 43.17% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 47.19% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.78% ( -0.02) | 58.21% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.14% ( -0.02) | 78.86% ( 0.02) |
| Plaza Colonia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.4% ( -0.14) | 35.59% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.63% ( -0.15) | 72.36% ( 0.14) |
| Racing de Montevideo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.27% ( 0.08) | 26.72% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.01% ( 0.11) | 61.99% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Plaza Colonia | Draw | Racing de Montevideo |
| 1-0 @ 9.83% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 6.7% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 5.08% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 2.31% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.75% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.03% Total : 29.2% | 1-1 @ 12.96% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.51% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.73% Total : 27.62% | 0-1 @ 12.55% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 8.56% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 8.28% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.76% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.64% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.94% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.2% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.99% Total : 43.17% |
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