Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Libertad win with a probability of 49.33%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 24.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Libertad win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.43%) and 2-1 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.3%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (8.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
-0.49) 
0.16) 
