SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 61.1%. A win for Cremonese had a probability of 19.53% and a draw had a probability of 19.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.73%) and 3-1 (7.28%). The likeliest Cremonese win was 1-2 (5.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.33%).
| Result | ||
| Napoli | Draw | Cremonese |
61.1% ( 0.35) | 19.37% ( -0.03) | 19.53% ( -0.32) |
| Both teams to score 63.71% ( -0.49) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.37% ( -0.37) | 31.63% ( 0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.87% ( -0.44) | 53.13% ( 0.44) |
| Napoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.88% ( -0.02) | 10.12% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.71% ( -0.05) | 33.29% ( 0.05) |
| Cremonese Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.88% ( -0.53) | 29.12% ( 0.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.96% ( -0.65) | 65.04% ( 0.66) |
| Score Analysis |
| Napoli | Draw | Cremonese |
| 2-1 @ 9.54% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.73% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 7.28% ( 0.02)1-0 @ 6.75% ( 0.13)3-0 @ 5.9% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 4.49% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 4.17% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.38% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.91% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.55% ( 0.02)5-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.02)4-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.58% Total : 61.1% | 1-1 @ 8.33% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.89% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 2.95% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.37% Total : 19.37% | 1-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 3.63% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.06% Total : 19.53% |
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