Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 58.95%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 19.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.55%) and 0-2 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 2-1 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
Result | ||
Sampdoria | Draw | Napoli |
19.58% (![]() | 21.47% (![]() | 58.95% (![]() |
Both teams to score 56.07% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.39% (![]() | 41.6% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.99% (![]() | 64% (![]() |
Sampdoria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.04% (![]() | 34.95% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.3% (![]() | 71.69% (![]() |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.2% (![]() | 13.79% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.88% (![]() | 41.12% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Sampdoria | Draw | Napoli |
2-1 @ 5.28% (![]() 1-0 @ 5.07% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 2.66% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 1.85% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.83% 3-0 @ 0.93% ( ![]() Other @ 1.96% Total : 19.58% | 1-1 @ 10.03% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.23% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.82% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.21% ( ![]() Other @ 0.17% Total : 21.46% | 1-2 @ 9.94% (![]() 0-1 @ 9.55% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 9.46% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 6.57% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 6.25% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.45% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 3.25% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 3.09% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.71% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 1.29% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 1.23% ( ![]() Other @ 3.16% Total : 58.95% |
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