Spezia showed their defensive resilience against Cagliari last time out, but they could struggle to keep a clean sheet against Sassuolo, who have scored at least twice in 18 Serie A games this season, including in each of their last five. The hosts will miss the presence of Raspadori in attack, but they still have enough quality in their side to secure all three points on Friday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 61.38%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 18.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.32%) and 1-0 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.39%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-2 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sassuolo would win this match.

Result
Sassuolo	Draw	Spezia
61.38%	20.36%	18.26%

Both teams to score 57.53%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.45%

38.54%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.16%

60.84%

Sassuolo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.88%

12.12%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.31%

37.69%

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.46%

34.54%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.74%

71.26%

Score Analysis

Sassuolo 61.38%

Spezia 18.26%

Draw 20.36%

Sassuolo	Draw	Spezia
2-1 @ 9.91% 2-0 @ 9.32% 1-0 @ 8.83% 3-1 @ 6.97% 3-0 @ 6.56% 3-2 @ 3.71% 4-1 @ 3.68% 4-0 @ 3.46% 4-2 @ 1.96% 5-1 @ 1.55% 5-0 @ 1.46% Other @ 3.97% Total : 61.38%	1-1 @ 9.39% 2-2 @ 5.27% 0-0 @ 4.19% 3-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 0.2% Total : 20.36%	1-2 @ 4.99% 0-1 @ 4.45% 0-2 @ 2.37% 2-3 @ 1.87% 1-3 @ 1.77% Other @ 2.82% Total : 18.26%