SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Morocco | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Gabon | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Comoros | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 4 | Ghana | 3 | -2 | 1 |
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Sierra Leone | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Algeria | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 60.57%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Comoros had a probability of 13.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win was 0-1 with a probability of 18.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.26%) and 1-2 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.3%), while for a Comoros win it was 1-0 (7.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ivory Coast would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Comoros | Draw | Ivory Coast |
13.82% ( -0.06) | 25.61% ( 0.15) | 60.57% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 34.08% ( -0.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.9% ( -0.5) | 65.1% ( 0.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.04% ( -0.35) | 83.96% ( 0.35) |
| Comoros Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 43.59% ( -0.4) | 56.41% ( 0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 11.29% ( -0.23) | 88.71% ( 0.22) |
| Ivory Coast Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.18% ( -0.25) | 21.82% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.96% ( -0.38) | 55.03% ( 0.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| Comoros | Draw | Ivory Coast |
| 1-0 @ 7.05% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 3.07% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 2.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.68% Total : 13.82% | 0-0 @ 12.3% ( 0.22) 1-1 @ 10.72% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.24% Total : 25.6% | 0-1 @ 18.73% ( 0.2) 0-2 @ 14.26% ( 0.05)1-2 @ 8.17% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 7.24% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 4.14% ( -0.07)0-4 @ 2.76% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.58% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.5% Total : 60.56% |
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