SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guingamp win with a probability of 46.42%. A win for Caen had a probability of 27.52% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guingamp win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (8.52%). The likeliest Caen win was 0-1 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guingamp would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Guingamp | Draw | Caen |
46.42% ( -0.45) | 26.06% ( -0.16) | 27.52% ( 0.61) |
| Both teams to score 50.72% ( 0.93) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.82% ( 0.99) | 53.18% ( -0.99) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.25% ( 0.83) | 74.75% ( -0.83) |
| Guingamp Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.12% ( 0.21) | 22.88% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.37% ( 0.31) | 56.63% ( -0.31) |
| Caen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.77% ( 1.02) | 34.23% ( -1.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.07% ( 1.08) | 70.92% ( -1.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Guingamp | Draw | Caen |
| 1-0 @ 11.55% ( -0.38) 2-1 @ 9.13% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 8.52% ( -0.23)3-1 @ 4.49% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 4.19% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.41% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 1.66% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.94% Total : 46.42% | 1-1 @ 12.38% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 7.83% ( -0.31)2-2 @ 4.9% ( 0.14)Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.06% | 0-1 @ 8.4% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 6.64% ( 0.15)0-2 @ 4.5% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.12)2-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.1)0-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.25% Total : 27.52% |
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