SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guingamp win with a probability of 46.09%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Bastia had a probability of 26.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guingamp win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.27%) and 1-2 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.88%), while for a Bastia win it was 1-0 (9.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bastia | Draw | Guingamp |
26.03% ( -0.01) | 27.87% ( -0.02) | 46.09% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 44.58% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.44% ( 0.07) | 60.56% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.34% ( 0.05) | 80.66% ( -0.05) |
| Bastia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.49% ( 0.03) | 39.5% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.8% ( 0.03) | 76.19% ( -0.03) |
| Guingamp Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.69% ( 0.05) | 26.31% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.56% ( 0.06) | 61.43% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bastia | Draw | Guingamp |
| 1-0 @ 9.65% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 5.99% ( 0)2-0 @ 4.48% ( -0)3-1 @ 1.85% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.39% 3-2 @ 1.24% ( 0)Other @ 1.43% Total : 26.03% | 1-1 @ 12.88% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.39% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.6% Total : 27.86% | 0-1 @ 13.87% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 9.27% 1-2 @ 8.61% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 4.12% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.83% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.38% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.28% ( 0)Other @ 1.96% Total : 46.09% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
