Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guingamp win with a probability of 46.09%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Bastia had a probability of 26.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guingamp win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.27%) and 1-2 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.88%), while for a Bastia win it was 1-0 (9.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
-0.01) 
0.03) 
