Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 46.37%. A win for ADO Den Haag had a probability of 30.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.52%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest ADO Den Haag win was 1-2 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 6-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jong Ajax would win this match.
