Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 64.3%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 17.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.44%) and 3-1 (7.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.19%), while for a MVV Maastricht win it was 1-2 (4.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for De Graafschap in this match.

Result
De Graafschap	Draw	MVV Maastricht
64.3% ( 0.01)	18.64% ( -0.01)	17.06% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 61.45% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.64% (

0.02)

32.36% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.01% (

0.02)

53.99% (

-0.02)

De Graafschap Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.44% (

0.01)

9.56% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.99% (

0.02)

32.01% (

-0.02)

MVV Maastricht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.95% (

32.05% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.48% (

0.01)

68.52% (

-0)

Score Analysis

De Graafschap 64.3%

MVV Maastricht 17.06%

Draw 18.64%

De Graafschap	Draw	MVV Maastricht
2-1 @ 9.61% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.44% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.52% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.2% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.61% ( 0) 4-1 @ 4.41% ( 0) 3-2 @ 4.28% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.88% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.51% ( 0) 5-1 @ 2.07% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.82% ( 0) 5-2 @ 1.18% ( 0) 4-3 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 3.83% Total : 64.3%	1-1 @ 8.19% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.47% 0-0 @ 3.07% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.62% ( 0) Other @ 0.3% Total : 18.64%	1-2 @ 4.66% ( -0) 0-1 @ 3.49% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.07% 0-2 @ 1.98% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.77% ( -0) Other @ 3.09% Total : 17.06%