Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 64.3%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 17.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.44%) and 3-1 (7.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.19%), while for a MVV Maastricht win it was 1-2 (4.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for De Graafschap in this match.
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