Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 44.12%. A win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 31.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.84%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Helmond Sport win was 2-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
